How we track LEGO retirements
LEGO doesn’t publish retirement dates on LEGO.com. Some sites list planned exit dates gathered from retail sources; we only show what we can observe ourselves, plus an estimate we label as one. Here is exactly what we know, how we know it, and how we estimate the rest.
What we record every day
Every day we check every set on LEGO.com Australia and record:
- The “Retiring soon” flag. LEGO adds it to a set’s page when it plans to stop selling it. We record the first day we see it.
- Removed flags. LEGO sometimes changes its mind and a set stops being “retiring”. We record that too, so you don’t rush to buy a set that is staying.
- Stock status: available, backorder, temporarily out of stock, sold out.
- The day a set disappears from LEGO.com after being flagged. That is the day we mark it as retired.
- Price and discounts, with a new line in the set’s price history each time something changes.
LEGO flags sets country by country: each country’s pages follow its own LEGO.com.
How we estimate the retirement date
LEGO retires most sets in two waves: at the end of July and at the end of December. A set usually carries the “Retiring soon” flag for a few months before it goes. So:
- a set first flagged between January and May is expected to retire by July 31;
- a set first flagged between June and December is expected to retire by December 31.
Sets that already carried the flag when we started tracking (8 October 2026) may have been flagged months earlier, including some whose planned exit was July 31 and that are simply selling their last stock: for those, December 31 is the latest date, and they can disappear any day. It is an estimate, and we always label it as one. A popular set can sell out and disappear earlier; LEGO can also extend a set. As sets actually disappear, we compare what happened with our estimates and adjust the rule.
Sets not flagged yet
For sets without the flag, the best signal is how long they have been on sale. Most sets stay on shelves for about two to three years, so the sets on sale the longest are the most likely to be flagged next.
Where the rest of our data comes from
- Prices, stock and flags: LEGO.com Australia, checked daily.
- Release years and minifigure counts for older sets: the Rebrickable LEGO catalog.
See the full list of LEGO sets retiring soon.